Friday, September 25, 2009

More Fractals

I could go on and on about how astounded I am at the '38 fractal as you all know, and while my forecast says up into October 7, I am weary going long - particularly over the weekend.

The correlation between 'now and then' continues to increase and more downside is absolutely possible, so be careful with any overnight longs (i.e. position size is important!).

The chart below shows what could happen over the next few trading days (8 to be exact).

Correlation Chart (1938 vs. Present)


However, a long position is warranted based on the forecast (obviously!) and the simple technicals I use (RSI(9) on 120min bar chart).

Intraday SPY Chart (60-day, 120min bars)


What I'm saying is (a) be smart about your trading and (b) be willing to take the loss if we gap through that trend line on Monday.